Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | -1.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers +12 (80-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Ellis * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -11.7 |
| Elijah Jamison * | 34 | 10-21 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 12 | -6.3 |
| Anthony McComb III * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -3.9 |
| Jordan Leaks * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -15.5 |
| Keyontae Lewis * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -14.3 |
| Jaquel Morris | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +7.4 |
| My'kel Jenkins | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Adrean Newton | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Dian Wright-Forde | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Melo Baines | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Yel Deeng | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.7 |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Coffee III * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | +15.7 |
| Antonio Munoz * | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +16.4 |
| Rickey Ballard * | 27 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 22 | +11.0 |
| Devyn Franklin * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +7.5 |
| Jimel Lane * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Derrius Ward | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 21 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Mekhi Fitts | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +8.3 |
| PJ Edwards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Richard Amaefule | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Chancellor Perkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
* = starter