Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.1% | 12.9% | -10.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pulliam * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | -0.5 |
| T. Vahlberg Fasasi * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +3.8 |
| K. Brockhoff * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -5.2 |
| C. Haskins * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -12.9 |
| C. Lowe * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | +1.8 |
| R. Miller | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +10.5 |
| J. Jones | 22 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| R. Jackson Jr. | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| F. Lally | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +6.1 |
| J. Emanuel | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -2.2 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McComb III * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +0.7 |
| K. Lewis * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +5.0 |
| A. Newton * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +8.0 |
| D. Ellis * | 17 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -5.0 |
| J. Leaks * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.5 |
| E. Jamison | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | -6.9 |
| M. Jenkins | 31 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | -5.6 |
| M. Baines | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
| D. Wright-Forde | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| J. Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Torrence | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter