Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.8% | 12.2% | -10.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | -5.5 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Kilian Brockhoff * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Cade Haskins * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -17.2 |
| Chase Lowe * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Reese Miller | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +5.5 |
| J. Jones | 22 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Finn Lally | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Jo'el Emanuel | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +5.4 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony McComb III * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +6.7 |
| Keyontae Lewis * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +10.5 |
| Adrean Newton * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Devon Ellis * | 17 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -9.0 |
| Jordan Leaks * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Elijah Jamison | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | -3.0 |
| My'kel Jenkins | 31 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | +0.6 |
| Melo Baines | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Dian Wright-Forde | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Jaquel Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Ahmad Torrence | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
* = starter