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NC State Wolfpack

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: NC State Wolfpack
Program History
Coach: Mark Gottfried

2013 Team Stats (18 games)

80.9
PPG
72.3
Opp
+8.6
Margin
51.5%
FG%
39.3%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
36.7
RPG
15.5
APG
12.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.5
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#29
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1301 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1224 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1061 (#90) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +13.1 (#28) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +11.5 (#38) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.753 (#57) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.0 More → 0.909 (#35) AdjNet +20.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.2 More → 0.911 (#35) AdjNet +20.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.751 (#29) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 66.3 More → 0.659 (#42) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 66.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.782 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.766 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 35 More → 1224 (#42) RD 109 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 97 - 59
2012-11-15 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 72 - 55
2012-11-16 @ UMass Minutemen W 94 - 76
2012-11-18 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 56 - 76
2012-11-23 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 82 - 80
2012-11-27 @ Michigan Wolverines L 72 - 79
2012-12-04 @ UConn Huskies W 69 - 65
2012-12-08 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 80 - 63
2012-12-15 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 84 - 62
2012-12-18 vs Stanford Cardinal W 88 - 79
2012-12-22 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 92 - 73
2012-12-29 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 84 - 68
2012-12-31 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 89 - 68
2013-01-05 @ Boston College Eagles W 78 - 73
2013-01-09 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 83 - 70
2013-01-12 vs Duke Blue Devils W 84 - 76
2013-01-16 @ Maryland Terrapins L 50 - 51
2013-01-20 vs Clemson Tigers W 66 - 62
2013-01-22 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 84 - 86
2013-01-26 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 91 - 83
2013-01-29 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 55 - 58
2013-02-02 vs Miami Hurricanes L 78 - 79
2013-02-07 @ Duke Blue Devils L 85 - 98
2013-02-10 @ Clemson Tigers W 58 - 57
2013-02-16 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 90 - 86
2013-02-19 vs Florida State Seminoles W 84 - 66
2013-02-23 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 65 - 76
2013-02-27 vs Boston College Eagles W 82 - 64
2013-03-03 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 70 - 57
2013-03-06 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 81 - 66
2013-03-09 @ Florida State Seminoles L 67 - 71
2013-03-14 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 80 - 63
2013-03-15 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 75 - 56
2013-03-16 @ Miami Hurricanes L 71 - 81
2013-03-22 vs Temple Owls L 72 - 76

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C.J. Leslie C.J. Leslie F 35 32.4 15.1 7.4 1.5 1.0 1.2 3.0 7.0 16.1 168 26 6.5 8.4 56.3 50.0 63.7 1.41 83.7 56.7
R. Howell R. Howell F 35 31.6 12.7 10.9 1.7 1.0 0.9 1.6 6.2 19.4 174 26 6.7 9.0 57.8 0 70.4 1.28 87.7 57.8
S. Wood S. Wood F 35 34.0 12.6 2.9 1.1 0.5 0.6 1.0 5.0 11.7 164 26 6.3 8.0 43.8 42.4 86.9 2.64 108.7 60.5
L. Brown L. Brown G 33 34.2 12.4 4.3 7.2 2.0 0.6 3.5 6.4 16.6 231 25 9.2 11.8 44.3 26.1 80.6 5.78 80.0 47.2
T.J. Warren T.J. Warren F 35 27.0 12.1 4.2 0.8 1.2 0.4 1.0 5.4 12.4 82 26 3.2 5.1 61.7 52.6 54.5 -1.08 102.5 64.4
R. Purvis R. Purvis G 35 25.5 8.3 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 1.5 4.9 6.3 117 26 4.5 7.2 42.8 37.9 50.8 -1.3 73.1 49.1
T. de Thaey T. de Thaey F 3 9.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 5.0 - - - - 57.1 40.0 0 -1.03 107.1 71.4
T. Lewis T. Lewis G 34 12.4 3.5 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.4 4.1 -11 25 -0.4 -1.6 40.8 28.6 84.3 -1.82 82.6 44.9
J. Vandenberg J. Vandenberg C 23 5.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.2 -10 18 -0.6 -4.4 53.8 0 0.0 -3.82 63.2 53.8
S. Battle S. Battle G 7 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 - - - - 25.0 25.0 0 -1.84 62.5 37.5
J. Lewis J. Lewis G 13 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 -18 7 -2.6 -92.9 16.7 25.0 0 -2.95 50.0 25.0
J. Robinson J. Robinson F 12 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 -12 7 -1.7 -66.8 25.0 0 75.0 -2.13 43.4 25.0
C. Cannon C. Cannon G 12 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 -16 7 -2.3 -98.5 50.0 100.0 0 -2.87 75.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG