Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +8 (91-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Paige * | 29 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Hubert * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 17 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 17 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| J. Simmons | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. James | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 18 | - |
| S. Wood * | 34 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Howell * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 18 | - |
| R. Purvis * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 27 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter