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2012-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Powell * 36 10-21 0-2 3-4 8 4 0 2 1 23 15 -
J. Huestis * 25 5-10 0-1 0-0 8 2 2 0 0 10 12 -
C. Randle * 25 5-15 0-5 1-2 2 3 1 1 2 11 1 -
R. Allen * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Harris * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Bright 31 6-9 4-7 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 16 10 -
A. Brown 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Gage 16 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
R. Lemons 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
G. Verhoeven 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
C. Sanders 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Nastic 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howell * 39 6-8 0-0 5-10 12 2 1 1 0 17 25 -
L. Brown * 36 9-15 0-3 6-6 3 5 1 1 4 24 15 -
S. Wood * 36 5-10 5-10 2-2 4 2 0 2 1 17 14 -
C.J. Leslie * 35 6-10 0-1 4-5 6 1 0 2 4 16 11 -
R. Purvis * 21 3-7 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
T.J. Warren 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 2 0 4 10 -
J. Vandenberg 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
T. Lewis 4 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter