Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | -8.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -8.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -17 (55-72). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wood * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +17.9 |
| Lorenzo Brown * | 36 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +12.1 |
| Rodney Purvis * | 32 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +4.7 |
| C.J. Leslie * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +18.7 |
| Richard Howell * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +7.8 |
| T.J. Warren | 32 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | +15.7 |
| Tyler Lewis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10.4 |
| Jordan Vandenberg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Thomas de Thaey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Frazier * | 40 | 6-20 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 9 | -15.0 |
| D.J. Newbill * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | -12.0 |
| Jermaine Marshall * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Ross Travis * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -22.3 |
| Jonathan Graham * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -8.6 |
| Brandon Taylor | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Sasa Borovnjak | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Nick Colella | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Donovon Jack | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.8 |
* = starter