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Morehead State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morehead State Eagles
Program History
Coach: Jonathan Mattox

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

92.0
PPG
74.0
Opp
+18.0
Margin
44.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
77.8%
FT%
41.5
RPG
20.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.5
Adj PPG
71.0
Adj Opp PPG
#222
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 886 (#233) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 973 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 977 (#205) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -3.8 (#221) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -5.5 (#248) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.362 (#228) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.320 (#226) AdjNet -6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.318 (#226) AdjNet -6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.422 (#222) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 72.0 More → 0.428 (#238) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 72.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.389 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.391 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 31 More → 938 (#214) RD 154 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Long Island University Sharks W 77 - 74
2012-11-12 @ Maryland Terrapins L 45 - 67
2012-11-15 vs Alice Lloyd Eagles W 101 - 50
2012-11-18 vs Lafayette Leopards W 88 - 74
2012-11-21 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 70 - 81
2012-11-26 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 73 - 67
2012-11-28 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 67 - 70
2012-12-01 @ Wright State Raiders L 57 - 66
2012-12-05 vs North Dakota State Bison L 57 - 69
2012-12-08 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 71 - 63
2012-12-19 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 75 - 85
2012-12-21 @ North Dakota State Bison L 49 - 69
2012-12-28 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 58 - 94
2012-12-30 vs Union Ky College Bulldogs W 114 - 67
2013-01-03 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 68 - 64
2013-01-05 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 65 - 50
2013-01-09 @ Austin Peay Governors L 81 - 84
2013-01-12 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 52 - 59
2013-01-17 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 75 - 59
2013-01-19 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 88 - 74
2013-01-24 vs Belmont Bruins L 63 - 64
2013-01-26 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 78 - 69
2013-01-31 @ Belmont Bruins L 74 - 93
2013-02-02 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 59 - 70
2013-02-09 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 47 - 68
2013-02-14 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 85 - 81
2013-02-16 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 65 - 63
2013-02-20 vs Murray State Racers L 100 - 106
2013-02-23 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 79 - 82
2013-02-28 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 101 - 100
2013-03-02 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 66 - 72
2013-03-06 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 73 - 66
2013-03-07 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 75 - 88

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Milton Chavis Milton Chavis F 30 22.5 11.1 3.8 0.8 1.3 0.4 1.6 2.8 13.0 8 22 0.4 0.7 45.2 26.1 78.9 1.74 180.3 48.8
Angelo Warner Angelo Warner G 31 26.8 10.9 4.4 2.5 1.7 0.0 2.3 1.3 15.9 -3 24 -0.1 -0.2 47.5 25.0 91.7 0.65 373.2 51.2
Maurice Lewis-Briggs Maurice Lewis-Briggs F 17 17.9 8.3 5.1 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.9 1.4 12.2 -9 12 -0.8 -1.9 50.0 22.2 57.1 -0.16 233.8 54.2
Bakari Turner Bakari Turner G 33 18.8 8.2 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.6 1.5 8.3 -25 25 -1.0 -2.3 36.0 31.0 60.0 0.28 240.3 45.0
Devon Atkinson Devon Atkinson G 33 28.5 7.6 1.5 5.1 1.2 0.0 2.9 1.4 11.1 -25 25 -1.0 -1.5 34.8 36.4 71.4 -0.94 255.7 39.1
Chad Posthumus Chad Posthumus C 33 18.5 7.5 6.8 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 14.3 -9 25 -0.4 -0.9 48.6 0 33.3 -0.55 314.1 48.6
Drew Kelly Drew Kelly F 30 21.5 7.3 3.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 1.8 1.7 9.3 -54 24 -2.2 -4.7 38.0 26.7 83.9 -2.45 171.3 42.0
Kahlil Owens Kahlil Owens F 24 14.0 6.1 4.9 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.7 10.6 -2 20 -0.1 -0.3 58.8 0 75.0 0.57 391.8 58.8
Jarrett Stokes Jarrett Stokes G 32 15.8 4.8 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.8 5.8 -45 24 -1.9 -5.3 20.0 25.0 100.0 -1.54 299.5 28.0
Bruce Reed Bruce Reed F 31 13.0 3.6 2.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 1.1 0.3 6.8 -2 23 -0.1 -0.3 40.0 50.0 100.0 -1.38 519.3 50.0
Jason Holmes Jason Holmes F 31 10.3 2.7 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 4.3 -37 24 -1.5 -7.0 40.9 25.0 69.2 -3.05 153.3 43.2
Jourdan Stickler Jourdan Stickler G 10 9.5 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.0 3.4 9 9 1.0 4.7 0 0 0 2.87 0 0
Cordell James Cordell James G 21 6.8 2.2 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.4 1.9 -16 15 -1.1 -7.3 66.7 75.0 60.0 -0.32 209.8 83.3
Taariq Muhammad Taariq Muhammad G 18 11.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 0.8 0.1 1.6 0.2 3.0 -7 14 -0.5 -1.7 25.0 0.0 0 -1.62 200.0 25.0
Jordan Percell Jordan Percell F 10 6.9 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.0 -8 6 -1.3 -9.0 50.0 0 0 -0.44 100.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG