Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -14 (74-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Atkinson * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +9.2 |
| Angelo Warner * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +13.2 |
| Bakari Turner * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +8.2 |
| Drew Kelly * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Chad Posthumus * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | +11.6 |
| Bruce Reed | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Jarrett Stokes | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Kahlil Owens | 15 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | -3.9 |
| Milton Chavis | 14 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Taariq Muhammad | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Jason Holmes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Smith * | 32 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | -11.1 |
| Myles Taylor * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | -4.4 |
| Jeremy Washington * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -18.8 |
| Justin Childs * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -5 | -1.3 |
| Bobby Jones * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Mike Liabo | 26 | 5-14 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | +2.1 |
| BJ McLaughlin | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +6.1 |
| DeMarc Richardson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Dee Oldham | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Omari Minor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Tobias Dowdell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Khristian Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter