Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | +15.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +19.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +11 (81-70). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Kelly * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Milton Chavis * | 26 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +8.2 |
| Devon Atkinson * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Jason Holmes * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Angelo Warner * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +7.8 |
| Jarrett Stokes | 31 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +10.7 |
| Maurice Lewis-Briggs | 23 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -8.6 |
| Bakari Turner | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Chad Posthumus | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.6 |
| Kahlil Owens | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +8.8 |
| Bruce Reed | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Poythress * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Archie Goodwin * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 12-17 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 24 | +4.0 |
| Nerlens Noel * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | +5.1 |
| Julius Mays * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -6.3 |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +10.4 |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -13.0 |
| Jarrod Polson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.3 |
* = starter