🐻⬇️🏀

Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

2018 Team Stats (17 games)

70.5
PPG
63.9
Opp
+5.8
Margin
45.3%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
66.8%
FT%
32.2
RPG
13.1
APG
8.8
TO
72.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1682 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1564 (#16) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +39.5 (#16) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.732 (#15) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.9 More → 0.765 (#7) NetEff +10.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.821 (#19) AdjNet +13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More → 0.823 (#19) AdjNet +13.3

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-22 vs VCU Rams W 68 - 60
2018-01-09 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 69 - 70
2018-01-13 @ Michigan State Spartans W 82 - 72
2018-01-15 vs Maryland Terrapins W 68 - 67
2018-01-18 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 52 - 72
2018-01-21 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 62 - 47
2018-01-25 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 88 - 92
2018-01-29 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 58 - 47
2018-02-03 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 76 - 73
2018-02-06 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 52 - 61
2018-02-14 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 74 - 59
2018-02-18 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 74 - 62
2018-02-21 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 72 - 63
2018-02-24 @ Maryland Terrapins W 85 - 61
2018-03-15 vs Montana Grizzlies W 61 - 47
2018-03-17 vs Houston Cougars W 64 - 63
2018-03-22 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 99 - 72
2018-03-24 vs Florida State Seminoles W 58 - 54
2018-03-31 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 69 - 57
2018-04-02 @ Villanova Wildcats L 62 - 79

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Wagner M. Wagner - 18 29.0 14.8 6.9 0.9 1.2 0.3 1.6 0.0 22.6 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Wagner M. Wagner - 18 29.4 14.4 7.0 0.8 1.2 0.4 1.3 10.1 12.4 - - - 51.1 41.8 70.2 - 62.5 60.2
M. Abdur-Rahkman M. Abdur-Rahkman G 20 36.5 13.8 3.5 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.9 9.9 10.5 - - - 40.4 34.0 69.9 - 60.0 48.5
C. Matthews C. Matthews G 20 31.1 11.2 6.0 2.0 0.8 0.8 2.2 9.3 9.2 - - - 43.3 27.7 55.9 - 52.8 46.8
Zavier Simpson Zavier Simpson - 20 30.1 8.2 3.8 3.7 1.2 0.1 1.6 6.8 8.6 - - - 43.4 25.0 48.9 - 52.3 47.4
D. Robinson D. Robinson - 18 24.3 7.9 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 5.6 5.9 11 1.8 8.3 45.0 40.5 92.0 0.28 64.4 60.0
J. Poole J. Poole - 19 12.8 6.1 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.4 4.3 4.1 - - - 43.2 41.2 91.7 - 63.3 56.2
J. Teske J. Teske C 20 10.2 2.7 2.9 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.5 5.2 - - - 50.0 0 66.7 - 68.8 50.0
I. Livers I. Livers - 20 16.2 2.6 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.4 2.5 - - - 41.7 36.0 66.7 - 52.3 51.0
Javan Simmons Javan Simmons G 15 7.1 2.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 - - - 66.7 37.5 0.0 0.68 72.3 73.8
C.J. Baird C.J. Baird F 2 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
I. Watson I. Watson G 9 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.7 - - - 30.0 20.0 0 - 55.0 35.0
A. Davis A. Davis F 4 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.5 83 9.2 14.3 100.0 0 0 1.21 100.0 100.0
E. Brooks E. Brooks G 14 5.9 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 - - - 22.2 0.0 0.0 - 47.7 22.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG