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Michigan

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History
Coach: John Beilein

2018 Team Stats (17 games)

70.5
PPG
63.3
Opp
+7.2
Margin
45.3%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
66.8%
FT%
32.2
RPG
13.1
APG
8.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.7
Adj PPG
57.8
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1518 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1357 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1254 (#3) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +18.0 (#11) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +20.4 (#3) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.836 (#14) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.5 More → 0.955 (#8) AdjNet +26.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.8 More → 0.957 (#8) AdjNet +26.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.822 (#11) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 57.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 59.3 More → 0.787 (#3) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 59.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.906 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.903 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 40 More → 1395 (#4) RD 86 | GP 40

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-11 vs North Florida Ospreys W 86 - 66
2017-11-13 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 72 - 65
2017-11-16 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 61 - 47
2017-11-20 @ LSU Tigers L 75 - 77
2017-11-21 @ Chaminade Silverswords W 102 - 64
2017-11-22 vs VCU Rams W 68 - 60
2017-11-26 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 87 - 42
2017-11-29 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 71 - 86
2017-12-02 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 69 - 55
2017-12-04 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 62 - 71
2017-12-09 vs UCLA Bruins W 78 - 69
2017-12-12 @ Texas Longhorns W 59 - 52
2017-12-16 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 90 - 58
2017-12-21 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 97 - 47
2017-12-30 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 76 - 51
2018-01-02 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 75 - 68
2018-01-06 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 79 - 69
2018-01-09 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 69 - 70
2018-01-13 @ Michigan State Spartans W 82 - 72
2018-01-15 vs Maryland Terrapins W 68 - 67
2018-01-18 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 52 - 72
2018-01-21 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 62 - 47
2018-01-25 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 88 - 92
2018-01-29 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 58 - 47
2018-02-03 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 76 - 73
2018-02-06 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 52 - 61
2018-02-11 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 83 - 72
2018-02-14 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 74 - 59
2018-02-18 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 74 - 62
2018-02-21 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 72 - 63
2018-02-24 @ Maryland Terrapins W 85 - 61
2018-03-01 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 77 - 71
2018-03-02 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 77 - 58
2018-03-03 @ Michigan State Spartans W 75 - 64
2018-03-04 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 75 - 66
2018-03-15 vs Montana Grizzlies W 61 - 47
2018-03-17 vs Houston Cougars W 64 - 63
2018-03-22 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 99 - 72
2018-03-24 vs Florida State Seminoles W 58 - 54
2018-03-31 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 69 - 57
2018-04-02 @ Villanova Wildcats L 62 - 79

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner - 35 27.2 14.9 6.8 0.9 1.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 20.1 - - - - 50.6 33.3 68.4 - 272.7 56.3
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner - 18 29.4 14.4 7.0 0.8 1.2 0.4 1.3 10.1 12.4 - - - - 51.1 41.8 70.2 - 62.5 60.2
M. Abdur-Rahkman M. Abdur-Rahkman G 38 35.1 13.0 3.8 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.8 7.2 13.1 150 33 4.5 17.0 42.3 38.2 71.0 -1.03 78.4 51.5
Charles Matthews Charles Matthews G 38 30.1 12.8 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.6 2.1 6.6 13.6 168 33 5.1 21.5 44.6 31.3 61.3 3.28 84.0 48.8
Duncan Robinson Duncan Robinson - 18 24.3 7.9 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 5.6 5.9 150 33 4.5 21.1 45.0 40.5 92.0 1.93 64.4 60.0
Zavier Simpson Zavier Simpson - 38 26.6 7.2 3.2 3.5 1.2 0.1 1.6 5.0 8.6 116 31 3.7 17.4 46.3 27.4 52.8 1.54 61.3 50.8
Jordan Poole Jordan Poole - 36 12.4 5.9 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.6 3.3 4.6 73 28 2.6 17.6 39.8 34.2 82.9 0.86 79.8 50.4
Isaiah Livers Isaiah Livers - 38 15.2 3.6 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.3 73 28 2.6 17.1 50.7 43.2 77.8 -0.51 89.0 61.6
Jon Teske Jon Teske C 38 12.1 3.1 3.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 1.5 6.0 215 33 6.5 21.5 51.8 0 55.3 6.52 81.1 51.8
Brent Hibbitts Brent Hibbitts - 4 2.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 3.2 - - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 239.4 100.0
Ibi Watson Ibi Watson G 23 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 50 16 3.1 33.7 36.4 23.1 33.3 1.61 105.1 43.2
Eli Brooks Eli Brooks G 29 10.1 1.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 3.1 58 19 3.1 25.6 29.2 22.2 60.0 1.08 99.2 37.5
Javan Simmons Javan Simmons G 30 7.6 1.3 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.9 1.6 77 21 3.7 32.3 55.6 36.4 0.0 3.52 69.9 63.0
Austin Davis Austin Davis F 13 3.2 1.2 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.5 2.7 26 10 2.6 25.5 66.7 0 0 -0.22 125.0 66.7
C.J. Baird C.J. Baird F 4 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.5 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -1.08 250.0 150.0
Naji Ozeir Naji Ozeir - 2 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Wilson Luke Wilson G 2 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rico Ozuna-Harrison Rico Ozuna-Harrison G 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG