Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | -3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -9 (63-72). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Wagner | 28 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Moritz Wagner * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Charles Matthews * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Livers * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Duncan Robinson | 32 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 26 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jon Teske | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jaaron Simmons | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eli Brooks | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satchel Pierce | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Carr * | 39 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Lamar Stevens * | 38 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Josh Reaves * | 35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Shep Garner * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Julian Moore * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nazeer Bostick | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| John Harrar | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Watkins | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamari Wheeler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Deividas Zemgulis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter