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2018-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 25 6-12 3-7 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 15 6 -
Z. Simpson * 37 7-13 1-2 1-3 3 5 2 0 1 16 12 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 37 10-15 6-9 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 26 16 -
C. Matthews * 33 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 6 0 1 3 10 11 -
I. Livers * 32 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
M. Wagner * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 15 18 -
J. Teske 14 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
J. Poole 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
D. Robinson 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Simmons 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Edwards * 39 9-11 3-3 9-10 5 5 1 0 2 30 28 -
D. Mathias * 35 3-9 3-7 0-1 2 5 0 0 0 9 7 -
C. Edwards * 32 4-9 3-7 2-2 1 3 1 1 5 13 5 -
P.J. Thompson * 31 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 2 2 1 0 5 8 -
I. Haas * 20 10-14 0-0 4-4 6 3 0 3 1 24 21 -
M. Haarms 19 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 6 7 -
R. Cline 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 5 -
N. Eastern 9 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
G. Eifert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter