Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | +20.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +10 (79-69). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Frazier * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Mark Alstork * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Leron Black * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finke * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mark Smith * | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Da'Monte Williams | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kipper Nichols | 22 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Te'Jon Lucas | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Jordan | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Greg Eboigbodin | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Moritz Wagner * | 23 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Charles Matthews * | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 18 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jon Teske | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ibi Watson | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Eli Brooks | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaaron Simmons | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter