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2018-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 13.8% 86.2% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +11 (58-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lindsey * 37 5-11 2-5 3-3 2 1 0 0 3 15 4 -
B. McIntosh * 35 3-10 0-2 0-1 3 5 0 0 3 6 1 -
D. Pardon * 35 4-7 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 0 4 9 5 -
V. Law * 28 2-8 0-5 2-2 7 1 1 1 3 6 5 -
G. Skelly * 24 2-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 5 7 -
A. Falzon 14 2-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Ash 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Gaines 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Benson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 28 3-7 1-3 1-3 8 0 2 0 2 8 9 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 38 3-6 1-4 4-4 4 3 0 0 0 11 12 -
M. Wagner * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 2 8 16 -
Z. Simpson * 27 1-4 0-2 2-4 1 3 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Matthews * 26 6-11 2-3 0-0 7 0 3 0 2 14 11 -
I. Livers * 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Robinson 27 3-9 0-6 2-2 0 3 1 0 0 8 3 -
J. Poole 24 3-10 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 8 5 -
J. Teske 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
E. Brooks 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter