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2018-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -10 (72-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 27 8-13 3-4 8-8 4 0 1 2 1 27 20 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 39 3-11 1-4 7-7 3 3 2 0 0 14 11 -
C. Matthews * 34 3-10 0-1 4-6 4 2 0 1 3 10 4 -
Z. Simpson * 30 5-9 1-1 5-10 4 5 2 1 0 16 19 -
M. Wagner * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 27 33 -
I. Livers * 25 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
D. Robinson 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
E. Brooks 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Teske 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Poole 7 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bridges * 35 7-14 1-5 4-5 6 5 2 0 4 19 14 -
J. Langford * 34 2-5 0-1 4-4 4 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
C. Winston * 31 3-7 1-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 4 11 5 -
J. Jackson Jr. * 27 4-7 1-3 10-13 3 0 0 6 2 19 19 -
N. Ward * 14 2-5 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
M. McQuaid 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Goins 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
X. Tillman 12 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 2 0 5 8 -
G. Schilling 12 1-1 0-0 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 6 11 -
L. Nairn Jr. 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter