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2018-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Gray * 38 8-22 4-8 3-4 10 3 0 0 3 23 11 -
D. Davis * 35 4-12 0-0 9-12 7 2 1 2 1 17 16 -
G. Robinson Jr. * 35 1-3 0-0 2-3 8 3 0 0 0 4 12 -
C. Davis Jr. * 34 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
B. Brady * 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
F. White Jr. 18 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
N. Zanna 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
W. VanBeck 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
A. Brooks 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 23 5-9 2-4 0-2 7 3 0 1 1 12 13 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 39 4-15 0-6 4-4 3 3 0 0 1 12 2 -
Z. Simpson * 37 1-7 0-4 2-4 8 4 2 1 3 4 9 -
C. Matthews * 27 5-12 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 11 6 -
M. Wagner * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 1 12 22 -
I. Livers * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Robinson 30 3-9 3-7 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 11 4 -
J. Teske 17 0-0 0-0 6-8 4 0 0 2 0 6 12 -
J. Poole 11 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
I. Watson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Simmons 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter