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2018-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -1 (69-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mathias * 35 5-9 4-7 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 14 13 -
V. Edwards * 33 4-10 2-2 0-1 5 5 0 0 1 10 9 -
C. Edwards * 30 7-14 4-6 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 19 12 -
P.J. Thompson * 28 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
I. Haas * 26 7-14 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 2 1 17 11 -
R. Cline 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Haarms 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 -
N. Eastern 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
G. Eifert 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 29 5-11 1-4 0-1 6 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
C. Matthews * 36 5-14 3-5 1-3 7 2 0 1 4 14 6 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 36 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
Z. Simpson * 32 6-10 2-3 1-2 6 5 0 0 1 15 15 -
M. Wagner * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 11 17 -
D. Robinson * 14 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
I. Livers 27 4-4 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
J. Teske 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
E. Brooks 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Poole 7 2-4 1-1 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -

* = starter