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Michigan State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2022 Team Stats (27 games)

71.9
PPG
69.3
Opp
+3.2
Margin
45.2%
FG%
38.8%
3P%
77.0%
FT%
36.3
RPG
16.0
APG
11.8
TO
76.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1638 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1486 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1030 (#132) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +40.7 (#16) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +21.1 (#60) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.426 (#71) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.9 More → 0.579 (#99) NetEff +2.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.9 More → 0.714 (#35) AdjNet +7.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.0 More → 0.716 (#35) AdjNet +8.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.613 (#109) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.884 (#51) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.852 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 35 More → 1233 (#54) RD 100 | GP 35

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 74 - 87
2021-11-12 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 90 - 46
2021-11-17 @ Butler Bulldogs W 73 - 52
2021-11-20 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 83 - 59
2021-11-25 vs UConn Huskies W 64 - 60
2021-11-26 vs Baylor Bears L 58 - 75
2021-12-01 vs Louisville Cardinals W 73 - 64
2021-12-04 vs Toledo Rockets W 81 - 68
2021-12-08 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 75 - 67
2021-12-11 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 80 - 64
2021-12-21 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 90 - 78
2021-12-29 vs High Point Panthers W 81 - 68
2022-01-02 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 73 - 67
2022-01-05 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 79 - 67
2022-01-08 @ Michigan Wolverines - Preview
2022-01-12 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 71 - 69
2022-01-15 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 62 - 64
2022-01-21 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 86 - 74
2022-01-25 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 55 - 56
2022-01-29 vs Michigan Wolverines W 83 - 67
2022-02-01 @ Maryland Terrapins W 65 - 63
2022-02-05 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 63 - 84
2022-02-08 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 62 - 70
2022-02-12 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 76 - 61
2022-02-15 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 58 - 62
2022-02-19 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 74 - 79
2022-02-22 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 60 - 86
2022-02-26 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 68 - 65
2022-03-01 @ Michigan Wolverines L 70 - 87
2022-03-03 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 80
2022-03-06 vs Maryland Terrapins W 77 - 67
2022-03-10 vs Maryland Terrapins W 76 - 72
2022-03-11 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 69 - 63
2022-03-12 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 70 - 75
2022-03-18 vs Davidson Wildcats W 74 - 73
2022-03-20 @ Duke Blue Devils L 76 - 85

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Brown G. Brown F 27 29.3 11.4 3.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 1.0 9.4 7.0 - - - 42.0 39.3 92.5 0.34 56.5 53.1
Max Christie Max Christie - 26 30.9 9.4 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.6 1.3 8.5 5.5 - - - 38.2 32.6 85.2 0.68 50.3 45.2
M. Bingham Jr. M. Bingham Jr. F 26 18.2 9.0 5.8 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.1 6.6 9.8 -219 -6.8 -8.6 51.7 43.8 75.9 0.92 59.5 55.8
Malik Hall Malik Hall - 35 21.4 8.5 4.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.5 5.6 7.9 - - - 49.2 40.4 64.9 1.35 67.2 55.1
Tyson Walker Tyson Walker - 35 22.6 8.2 1.3 4.3 0.9 0.1 1.8 5.7 7.5 - - - 42.9 48.4 79.6 1.17 64.9 50.5
J. Hauser J. Hauser - 34 22.4 7.4 5.3 1.7 0.3 0.2 1.2 4.3 9.4 72 2.1 3.7 46.9 43.8 88.4 0.59 75.3 58.8
A.J. Hoggard A.J. Hoggard G 35 20.1 7.1 2.3 4.9 0.7 0.5 1.9 5.4 8.3 47 1.3 2.6 43.6 22.2 68.6 0.63 56.9 45.2
J. Marble J. Marble - 27 14.7 6.6 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 4.2 5.6 18 0.5 1.4 64.0 0 76.2 0.56 67.2 64.0
Jaden Akins Jaden Akins G 35 14.8 3.5 2.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 2.4 4.3 98 2.7 7.4 36.9 41.5 55.0 1.36 65.7 47.0
K. Coleman K. Coleman F 4 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 -137 -4.6 -6.8 50.0 100.0 0 -0.13 62.5 62.5
Mady Sissoko Mady Sissoko - 29 4.6 1.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 2.0 25 0.8 7.6 46.2 0 33.3 0.25 105.5 46.2
Pierre Brooks Pierre Brooks F 18 3.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 7 0.3 3.0 27.3 14.3 75.0 0.38 49.1 31.8
P. Nwoke P. Nwoke F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Peterson M. Peterson G 6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
M. Carr M. Carr G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 243 7.1 9.4 0 0 0 2.2 0 0
Steven Izzo Steven Izzo - 7 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Davis Smith Davis Smith - 11 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 -65 -2.2 -3.2 0.0 0.0 0 1.09 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG