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2022-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 80.9% 19.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 (24.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% -
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Marble 21 4-7 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 1 0 9 13 -
G. Brown 19 0-7 0-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Bingham Jr. 13 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 8 4 -
P. Brooks 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Christie * 24 2-11 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 -4 -
A. Hoggard * 23 2-8 0-2 0-0 0 6 1 0 1 4 2 -
J. Hauser * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
T. Walker 25 3-7 3-5 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 9 10 -
M. Hall 23 7-13 2-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 17 9 -
J. Akins 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 1 3 3 6 -
M. Sissoko 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Coleman 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
D. Smith 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Izzo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Peterson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ke. Murray * 30 10-15 2-5 6-7 5 2 2 1 0 28 23 -
P. McCaffery * 23 2-9 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 5 3 -
J. Bohannon * 23 3-7 3-7 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 11 9 -
F. Rebraca * 22 0-2 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 2 1 4 11 -
T. Perkins * 18 1-5 0-1 3-3 2 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Toussaint 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Ulis 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 3 6 -
Kr. Murray 16 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
Pa. Sandfort 13 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
C. McCaffery 9 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Ogundele 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Ash 3 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. Laketa 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Mulvey 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter