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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Beran * 34 2-8 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
B. Buie * 31 4-12 2-7 2-2 4 4 2 0 0 12 10 -
C. Audige * 31 5-15 4-8 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 14 8 -
R. Young * 27 6-12 0-0 6-8 8 2 2 0 3 18 15 -
T. Berry * 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
J. Roper II 18 1-4 0-1 0-2 6 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. Nicholson 13 2-4 0-0 1-3 6 3 0 0 0 5 10 -
R. Greer 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Simmons 8 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
B. Barnhizer 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 1 0 0 3 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Brooks 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Christie * 35 1-8 0-5 4-4 6 1 0 3 2 6 6 -
G. Brown * 33 4-10 2-5 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 10 11 -
T. Walker * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 8 0 0 2 4 6 -
J. Hauser * 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 2 2 3 5 -
M. Bingham Jr. * 12 1-4 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 2 3 2 -1 -
M. Hall 24 3-7 3-6 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 10 8 -
J. Marble 19 7-7 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 1 1 18 15 -
A. Hoggard 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 4 2 -
J. Akins 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
M. Sissoko 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter