Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Beran * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Buie * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Audige * | 31 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Young * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| T. Berry * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Roper II | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Nicholson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. Greer | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Simmons | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Barnhizer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Brooks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Christie * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Brown * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Walker * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Hall | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Marble | 19 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Akins | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter