Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | -3.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Brown | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Marble | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P. Brooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Christie * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Hall | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Walker | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Akins | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lundy * | 40 | 6-14 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| J. Pickett * | 39 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Harrar * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Dread * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Sessoms | 31 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. White | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Dorsey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter