Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Christie * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| G. Brown * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Walker * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Marble | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Akins | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Hall | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Buie * | 31 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Audige * | 30 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P. Nance * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| T. Berry * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Beran * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Greer | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Young | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| E. Williams | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Simmons | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter