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Michigan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2015 Team Stats (16 games)

68.7
PPG
61.4
Opp
+7.2
Margin
45.6%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
62.1%
FT%
36.5
RPG
16.8
APG
11.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.0
Adj PPG
58.3
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1373 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1293 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1204 (#7) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +16.8 (#14) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +15.7 (#12) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.782 (#33) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.5 More → 0.950 (#17) AdjNet +25.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.9 More → 0.952 (#17) AdjNet +25.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.806 (#13) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 58.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 61.3 More → 0.719 (#14) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.879 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.868 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 81 | GP 39 More → 1323 (#11) RD 81 | GP 39

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 @ Navy Midshipmen W 64 - 59
2014-11-18 @ Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 81
2014-11-21 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 87 - 52
2014-11-24 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 79 - 52
2014-11-27 @ Rider Broncs W 77 - 45
2014-11-28 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 79 - 68
2014-11-30 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 56 - 61
2014-12-03 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 78 - 79
2014-12-06 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 85 - 52
2014-12-14 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 87 - 61
2014-12-17 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 66 - 46
2014-12-20 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 64 - 71
2014-12-22 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 82 - 56
2014-12-30 vs Maryland Terrapins L 66 - 68
2015-01-05 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 70 - 50
2015-01-08 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 75 - 61
2015-01-11 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 84 - 77
2015-01-17 @ Maryland Terrapins L 59 - 75
2015-01-21 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 66 - 60
2015-01-24 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 77 - 79
2015-01-27 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Postponed
2015-01-29 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 71 - 51
2015-02-01 vs Michigan Wolverines W 76 - 66
2015-02-07 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 54 - 59
2015-02-10 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 68 - 44
2015-02-14 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 59 - 56
2015-02-17 @ Michigan Wolverines W 80 - 67
2015-02-22 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 60 - 53
2015-02-26 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 90 - 96
2015-03-01 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 61 - 68
2015-03-04 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 72 - 66
2015-03-07 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 74 - 72
2015-03-13 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 76 - 67
2015-03-14 @ Maryland Terrapins W 62 - 58
2015-03-15 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 69 - 80
2015-03-20 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 70 - 63
2015-03-22 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 60 - 54
2015-03-27 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 62 - 58
2015-03-29 @ Louisville Cardinals W 76 - 70
2015-04-04 @ Duke Blue Devils L 61 - 81

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Travis Trice Travis Trice G 33 34.2 16.0 3.2 4.7 1.0 0.1 1.8 7.0 16.2 254 37 6.9 9.2 40.5 36.1 78.3 4.65 102.4 49.8
Denzel Valentine Denzel Valentine G 33 33.5 14.0 6.2 4.2 0.9 0.2 2.4 5.7 17.5 264 37 7.1 9.6 40.4 36.5 82.9 3.73 113.6 50.5
Branden Dawson Branden Dawson F 31 29.8 11.5 8.6 1.6 1.2 1.8 1.8 5.5 17.4 182 33 5.5 8.1 52.9 0 54.9 2.29 88.5 52.9
Bryn Forbes Bryn Forbes G 33 26.1 8.1 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.7 3.8 6.6 191 37 5.2 8.9 46.5 45.3 82.6 1.6 97.7 61.8
Matt Costello Matt Costello F 33 21.0 7.2 5.2 0.7 0.5 1.2 0.8 3.5 10.5 222 37 6.0 13.6 58.3 0.0 69.8 4.37 89.2 58.3
Gavin Schilling Gavin Schilling F 33 16.3 4.5 3.5 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.8 2.0 6.3 25 37 0.7 1.7 59.7 0 48.8 -1.11 87.6 59.7
M. Clark II M. Clark II F 33 10.9 4.0 2.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.6 4.4 18 36 0.5 1.9 51.9 27.6 63.2 -2.03 106.6 59.3
Javon Bess Javon Bess G 9 12.2 2.2 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.4 4.0 7 10 0.7 2.6 30.8 0.0 22.2 -2.54 59.0 30.8
L. Nairn Jr. L. Nairn Jr. G 33 19.6 2.1 1.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.1 4.2 -20 37 -0.5 -1.2 37.1 75.0 48.1 -4.66 74.7 41.4
A. Ellis III A. Ellis III G 27 8.4 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.8 3 29 0.1 0.5 20.8 11.1 38.9 -1.86 72.1 22.9
Colby Wollenman Colby Wollenman F 23 7.6 1.1 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.5 34 26 1.3 7.5 62.5 0 0.0 0.31 154.0 62.5
Keenan Wetzel Keenan Wetzel G 10 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 11 7 1.6 17.6 25.0 25.0 0 -1.21 37.5 37.5
Trevor Bohnhoff Trevor Bohnhoff F 9 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -1 10 -0.1 -2.1 0 0 50.0 -0.89 56.8 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG