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Michigan State

Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2015 Team Stats (16 games)

68.7
PPG
62.6
Opp
+5.6
Margin
45.6%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
62.1%
FT%
36.5
RPG
16.8
APG
11.2
TO
74.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1848 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1606 (#13) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +41.6 (#8) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.399 (#42) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.6 More → 0.456 (#28) NetEff -1.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.2 More → 0.865 (#16) AdjNet +16.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.4 More → 0.870 (#16) AdjNet +16.4

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-21 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 87 - 52
2014-11-27 @ Rider Broncs W 77 - 45
2014-12-06 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 85 - 52
2014-12-17 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 66 - 46
2014-12-20 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 64 - 71
2014-12-30 vs Maryland Terrapins L 66 - 68
2015-01-17 @ Maryland Terrapins L 59 - 75
2015-02-14 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 59 - 56
2015-03-01 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 61 - 68
2015-03-13 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 76 - 67
2015-03-14 @ Maryland Terrapins W 62 - 58
2015-03-15 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 69 - 80
2015-03-20 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 70 - 63
2015-03-22 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 60 - 54
2015-03-27 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 62 - 58
2015-03-29 @ Louisville Cardinals W 76 - 70
2015-04-04 @ Duke Blue Devils L 61 - 81

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Trice II T. Trice II G 17 35.1 14.8 2.4 4.1 0.7 0.0 2.3 11.7 7.9 2 0.2 0.2 40.2 35.6 80.0 0.73 57.0 49.2
D. Valentine D. Valentine G 17 33.5 12.7 6.3 4.9 1.1 0.2 1.9 9.5 13.8 - - - 42.0 38.7 91.7 - 62.6 53.1
B. Dawson B. Dawson F 16 28.9 11.2 8.0 1.8 0.8 1.9 1.8 8.9 13.1 - - - 49.3 0 50.0 - 54.0 49.3
M. Costello M. Costello F 17 21.6 8.5 5.8 0.7 0.4 1.2 1.0 5.9 9.6 - - - 56.0 0.0 70.3 - 61.9 56.0
B. Forbes B. Forbes G 17 25.7 8.4 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 5.9 5.0 - - - 46.0 46.3 82.6 - 64.5 61.5
G. Schilling G. Schilling F 17 16.6 4.6 3.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.9 3.1 5.0 - - - 59.6 0 47.1 - 58.2 59.6
M. Clark II M. Clark II F 17 11.1 4.4 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 3.1 4.1 13 1.4 6.1 53.8 28.6 58.8 0.37 63.0 61.5
J. Bess J. Bess G 4 13.2 2.5 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.5 2.8 6.0 - - - 36.4 0.0 22.2 - 33.4 36.4
L. Nairn Jr. L. Nairn Jr. G 17 18.8 1.9 1.6 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 1.8 3.6 62 4.8 6.6 26.7 66.7 50.0 1.25 39.4 30.0
A. Ellis III A. Ellis III G 15 8.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.1 62 3.4 4.9 23.8 12.5 38.9 1.67 31.1 26.2
C. Wollenman C. Wollenman F 12 7.2 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.6 2.0 - - - 57.1 0 0.0 - 67.2 57.1
K. Wetzel K. Wetzel G 8 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
T. Bohnhoff T. Bohnhoff F 5 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG