Michigan State
2015 Team Stats (16 games)
68.7
PPG
62.6
Opp
+5.6
Margin
45.6%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
62.1%
FT%
36.5
RPG
16.8
APG
11.2
TO
74.2
Pace
Model Outputs
2014-2015
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1848 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1606 (#13) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +41.6 (#8) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.399 (#42) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.456 (#28) | NetEff -1.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.865 (#16) | AdjNet +16.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.870 (#16) | AdjNet +16.4 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-21 | vs | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | W | 87 - 52 |
| 2014-11-27 | @ | Rider Broncs | W | 77 - 45 |
| 2014-12-06 | vs | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W | 85 - 52 |
| 2014-12-17 | vs | Eastern Michigan Eagles | W | 66 - 46 |
| 2014-12-20 | vs | Texas Southern Tigers | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2014-12-30 | vs | Maryland Terrapins | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2015-01-17 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2015-02-14 | vs | Ohio State Buckeyes | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2015-03-01 | @ | Wisconsin Badgers | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2015-03-13 | vs | Ohio State Buckeyes | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2015-03-14 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2015-03-15 | @ | Wisconsin Badgers | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2015-03-20 | vs | Georgia Bulldogs | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2015-03-22 | @ | Virginia Cavaliers | W | 60 - 54 |
| 2015-03-27 | @ | Oklahoma Sooners | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2015-03-29 | @ | Louisville Cardinals | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2015-04-04 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 61 - 81 |
2015 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Trice II
|
G | 17 | 35.1 | 14.8 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 11.7 | 7.9 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 40.2 | 35.6 | 80.0 | 0.73 | 57.0 | 49.2 |
D. Valentine
|
G | 17 | 33.5 | 12.7 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 9.5 | 13.8 | - | - | - | 42.0 | 38.7 | 91.7 | - | 62.6 | 53.1 |
B. Dawson
|
F | 16 | 28.9 | 11.2 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 13.1 | - | - | - | 49.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 54.0 | 49.3 |
M. Costello
|
F | 17 | 21.6 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 9.6 | - | - | - | 56.0 | 0.0 | 70.3 | - | 61.9 | 56.0 |
B. Forbes
|
G | 17 | 25.7 | 8.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.9 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 46.0 | 46.3 | 82.6 | - | 64.5 | 61.5 |
G. Schilling
|
F | 17 | 16.6 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 59.6 | 0 | 47.1 | - | 58.2 | 59.6 |
M. Clark II
|
F | 17 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 13 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 53.8 | 28.6 | 58.8 | 0.37 | 63.0 | 61.5 |
J. Bess
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 0.0 | 22.2 | - | 33.4 | 36.4 |
L. Nairn Jr.
|
G | 17 | 18.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 62 | 4.8 | 6.6 | 26.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 1.25 | 39.4 | 30.0 |
A. Ellis III
|
G | 15 | 8.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 62 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 23.8 | 12.5 | 38.9 | 1.67 | 31.1 | 26.2 |
C. Wollenman
|
F | 12 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 67.2 | 57.1 |
K. Wetzel
|
G | 8 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
T. Bohnhoff
|
F | 5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG