Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Trice II * | 44 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| G. Schilling * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Forbes | 33 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Costello | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Clark II | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Avare | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 45 | 6-23 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 42 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 42 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 39 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 12-12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 20 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 37 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| C. Onuaku | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Gill | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Levitch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Aaron | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter