Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -6 (70-76). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Trice II * | 44 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bryn Forbes | 33 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Matt Costello | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Clark II | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Avare | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Terry Rozier * | 45 | 6-23 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Snider * | 42 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell * | 42 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Wayne Blackshear * | 39 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 12-12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Mangok Mathiang * | 37 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Chinanu Onuaku | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anton Gill | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jaylen Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| David Levitch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaqquan Aaron | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter