🐻⬇️🏀

Michigan State Spartans 69
@
Wisconsin Badgers 80
2015-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% - ✗
Margin 49.1% 50.9% +0.2 ✓ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% - ✓

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wetzel 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Trice II * 42 2-8 0-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 6 -2 -
D. Valentine * 41 6-12 4-6 0-0 8 6 0 0 4 16 14 -
B. Dawson * 38 7-12 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 3 16 10 -
L. Nairn Jr. * 28 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 5 8 -
G. Schilling * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Costello 26 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 8 9 -
B. Forbes 21 3-5 1-3 3-3 0 3 0 0 0 10 8 -
M. Clark II 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. Ellis III 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gasser * 44 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 3 7 -
B. Koenig * 42 5-10 4-8 4-6 4 9 0 0 3 18 18 -
F. Kaminsky * 42 8-16 2-4 1-1 5 4 0 1 0 19 13 -
S. Dekker * 39 2-7 0-3 0-1 3 0 2 0 1 4 1 -
N. Hayes-Davis * 39 5-11 3-4 12-12 5 1 2 0 1 25 21 -
D. Dukan 15 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 11 9 -
Z. Showalter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter