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2015-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% -
Margin 61.0% 39.0% -2.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% -
Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Valentine * 38 6-17 4-11 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 18 10 -
T. Trice II * 36 7-14 4-9 6-6 3 2 0 0 1 24 14 -
B. Dawson * 33 3-7 0-0 0-2 11 2 0 1 0 6 13 -
G. Schilling * 20 4-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
L. Nairn Jr. * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Forbes 31 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Costello 15 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Clark II 7 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
C. Wollenman 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Ellis III 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hield * 38 7-17 3-10 4-4 6 2 0 0 0 21 12 -
T. Thomas * 36 5-12 0-0 6-6 7 1 1 2 2 16 13 -
J. Woodard * 35 4-11 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 9 0 -
R. Spangler * 28 1-2 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 0 4 11 -
I. Cousins * 25 2-8 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
F. Booker 21 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
K. Lattin 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 3 6 -
D.J. Bennett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter