Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | +20.4 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (84-77). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Demps * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Bryant McIntosh * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Vic Law * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| JerShon Cobb | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Scottie Lindsey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Skelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Trice II * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Matt Costello | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Clark II | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Javon Bess | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter