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Mercer

2009 Team Stats (5 games)

66.8
PPG
77.6
Opp
-10.8
Margin
40.5%
FG%
25.2%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
34.8
RPG
10.0
APG
15.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.8
Adj PPG
74.5
Adj Opp PPG
#229
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 872 (#234) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 976 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 1002 (#176) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -4.1 (#234) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -4.4 (#234) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.423 (#206) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.5 More โ†’ 0.321 (#229) AdjNet -6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.6 More โ†’ 0.318 (#229) AdjNet -6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 74.5 More โ†’ 0.416 (#229) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 74.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 74.5 More โ†’ 0.453 (#213) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 74.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.410 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.417 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 31 More โ†’ 943 (#201) RD 152 | GP 31

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-14 vs Piedmont Lions W 89 - 63
2008-11-16 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 72 - 69
2008-11-19 @ Auburn Tigers W 78 - 74
2008-11-22 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 76 - 82
2008-11-25 @ Dayton Flyers L 53 - 71
2008-11-28 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 71 - 68
2008-11-29 vs Chicago State Cougars W 88 - 77
2008-12-02 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 74 - 64
2008-12-05 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 61 - 81
2008-12-17 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 74 - 104
2008-12-20 @ UCLA Bruins L 59 - 76
2008-12-22 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 75 - 52
2008-12-31 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 49 - 67
2009-01-03 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 57 - 72
2009-01-09 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 59 - 80
2009-01-11 @ North Florida Ospreys W 75 - 62
2009-01-16 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 88 - 63
2009-01-18 vs Stetson Hatters W 101 - 98
2009-01-24 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 68 - 84
2009-01-26 @ Belmont Bruins L 82 - 86
2009-01-29 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 88 - 75
2009-02-02 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 73 - 92
2009-02-05 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 75 - 56
2009-02-07 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 72 - 71
2009-02-09 vs North Florida Ospreys W 74 - 55
2009-02-14 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 82 - 75
2009-02-16 @ Stetson Hatters W 88 - 80
2009-02-20 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 67 - 88
2009-02-22 vs Belmont Bruins W 89 - 83
2009-02-26 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 90 - 93
2009-02-28 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 81 - 103
2009-03-05 @ Belmont Bruins L 64 - 65

2009 Roster

No roster data available for this season.