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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% -
Bradley-Terry 12.3% 87.7% -
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 (0.1 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Emerson 38 4-5 1-1 1-2 8 2 1 0 5 10 11 -
C. Henry 36 5-8 1-2 3-4 4 2 0 0 3 14 9 -
J. Florence 32 3-11 1-5 2-4 0 1 2 0 4 9 -3 -
M. Hall 27 2-6 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 6 0 -
B. Mills 19 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
B. Corley 17 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
E.J. Kusnyer 13 0-4 0-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
M. Ellis 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Straub 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 34 8-15 2-5 2-2 2 2 2 0 3 20 8 -
M. Roll 33 6-7 4-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 16 13 -
A. Aboya 27 4-6 0-0 6-8 7 0 2 0 1 14 16 -
J. Holiday 25 4-7 0-2 2-3 2 4 0 0 2 10 7 -
M. Lee 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 2 4 -
J. Keefe 20 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
N. Dragovic 19 1-7 0-4 0-0 5 2 2 2 1 2 5 -
D. Gordon 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Anderson 6 0-0 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Morgan 4 0-1 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
B. Arnet 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter