Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -8 (80-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Florence | 40 | 8-22 | 2-8 | 9-13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 15 | - |
| D. Emerson | 38 | 4-20 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Ellis | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 27 | - |
| M. Hall | 32 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| B. Corley | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Mills | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Jackson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Straub | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Walker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Blair | 43 | 7-21 | 0-4 | 10-13 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 22 | - |
| A.J. Smith | 39 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas | 39 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Lang | 36 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| E. Diaz | 23 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Lohuis | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Oliver | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Bowen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter