Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +18 (71-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Henry | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| D. Emerson | 31 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Hall | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Corley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 22 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| M. Ellis | 21 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Mills | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Florence | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Walker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Straub | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Abdush-Shakur | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| C. Wright | 28 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| C. Little | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Warren | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| C. Johnson | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Perry | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Lowery | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 12 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Searcy | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Thomas | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter