Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | +8.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +3 (101-98). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Smith | 38 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| G. Blair | 38 | 11-24 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 12 | - |
| K. Thomas | 38 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E. Diaz | 35 | 10-14 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| O. Dupiton | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Oliver | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Lohuis | 11 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Lang | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Radford | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Bowen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Emerson | 41 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Calvin Henry | 41 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| J. Florence | 34 | 13-22 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Mark Hall | 32 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Michael Ellis | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 23 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| B. Mills | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Corley | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Straub | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter