Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.5% | 14.5% | -9.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Henry | 36 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 34 | - |
| J. Florence | 35 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 9-12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 17 | - |
| D. Emerson | 27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| M. Hall | 23 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Corley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Ellis | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Mills | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Walker | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Abdush-Shakur | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hogans | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sparkes | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Cuka | 35 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| K. Groothuis | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Januska | 30 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| C. Riley | 27 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Sauey | 24 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| C. Lovelace | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Riggins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Middlebrook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter