Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | +9.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +4 (86-82). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Emerson * | 42 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| James Florence * | 41 | 11-23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer * | 30 | 4-14 | 4-14 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Brian Mills * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Calvin Henry * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Mark Hall | 31 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Michael Ellis | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| BeJay Corley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sidiki Straub | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Larney Abdush-Shakur | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Walker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Wicke * | 41 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Alex Renfroe * | 40 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 2-8 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 32 | - |
| Jon House * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Matthew Dotson * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Keaton Belcher * | 20 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Shane Dansby | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Henry Harris | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mick Hedgepeth | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mike Dejworek | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drew Hanlen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter