Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Holston | 39 | 12-22 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 21 | - |
| T. Walton | 39 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Cantrell | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Wilson | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Wall | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Montgomery | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| P. Kielbasa | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Martin Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Stankovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Florence | 36 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Emerson | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 22 | - |
| C. Henry | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Ellis | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Hall | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Mills | 22 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 17 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. Walker | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Corley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter