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Mercer Bears

Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History

2026 Team Stats (24 games)

63.2
PPG
61.0
Opp
+2.2
Margin
37.8%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
35.9
RPG
11.5
APG
15.0
TO
80.9
Pace
60.2
AdjO
69.4
AdjD
#265
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1018 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 923 (#234) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1004 (#180) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -9.5 (#269) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +4.6 (#262) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.480 (#180) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.8 More → 0.558 (#157) NetEff +1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.2 More → 0.179 (#265) AdjNet -13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.4 More → 0.174 (#264) AdjNet -13.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.303 (#265) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 61.3 More → 0.527 (#193) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.614 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.597 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 24 More → 1015 (#204) RD 155 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Clemson Tigers L 51 - 72
2025-11-13 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 61 - 66
2025-11-19 @ Jackson State Lady Tigers W 78 - 68
2025-11-28 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 71 - 45
2025-12-03 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 49 - 71
2025-12-14 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 66 - 43
2025-12-17 vs Erskine Flying Fleet W 91 - 37
2025-12-20 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 64 - 55
2026-01-02 vs Auburn-Montgomery Senators W 66 - 55
2026-01-08 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 84 - 75
2026-01-10 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 59 - 76
2026-01-17 vs Samford Bulldogs W 76 - 67
2026-01-22 vs Furman Paladins L 49 - 60
2026-01-24 vs Wofford Terriers L 64 - 67
2026-01-30 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 59 - 72
2026-02-01 @ East Tennessee State Bucs W 50 - 45
2026-02-05 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 67 - 58
2026-02-07 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 61 - 51
2026-02-14 @ Samford Bulldogs L 48 - 68
2026-02-19 @ Wofford Terriers L 58 - 72
2026-02-21 @ Furman Paladins W 80 - 63
2026-02-26 vs East Tennessee State Bucs L 51 - 58
2026-02-28 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 68 - 55
2026-03-05 @ Furman Paladins L 45 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Diarra N. Diarra G 23 31.8 11.2 5.7 2.2 1.7 0.0 2.0 10.9 8.0 28 1.3 1.5 32.0 34.9 76.1 -0.7 44.5 38.0
A. Bennett A. Bennett F 23 21.6 9.6 3.9 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.6 7.6 6.4 -43 -2.1 -3.2 45.4 0.0 75.6 -4.37 52.4 45.4
A. Holtman A. Holtman G 21 26.5 8.9 3.7 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 6.1 84 4.7 6.9 36.5 33.1 88.2 2.74 53.5 49.1
M. O'Dell M. O'Dell G 21 28.2 8.6 3.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 2.3 9.1 2.4 -36 -2.1 -2.8 30.7 27.7 82.2 1.02 42.7 37.5
T. Kemp T. Kemp G 24 23.3 6.5 2.0 3.2 1.7 0.1 2.6 5.5 5.4 9 0.4 0.6 41.4 32.0 78.0 -1.04 50.6 44.4
Ste. Utomi Ste. Utomi G 24 15.3 6.3 4.2 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.7 4.5 6.8 72 3.3 9.5 45.8 0 64.6 0.17 52.8 45.8
R. Curry R. Curry G 24 22.2 5.2 3.2 1.5 1.2 0.6 1.2 4.5 6.0 63 2.9 7.4 43.9 25.0 76.9 2.92 50.7 44.9
E. Cabello E. Cabello G 23 17.6 5.1 2.7 0.5 0.9 0.3 1.0 5.4 3.0 43 2.0 4.3 37.9 32.8 50.0 -1.28 46.8 46.8
T. Harris T. Harris G 21 15.1 3.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.0 3.8 1.3 2 0.1 0.2 31.2 25.0 75.0 0.16 37.3 33.1
R. Drantmann R. Drantmann F 20 8.9 2.1 3.5 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 2.4 3.6 -14 -0.7 -2.8 38.3 0 50.0 -2.81 40.4 38.3
L. Brewster L. Brewster F 13 3.9 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 27 2.1 18.1 60.0 0 50.0 3.05 59.7 60.0
Stacy Utomi Stacy Utomi G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 72 3.3 9.5 - - - 0.17 - -
Anaiah White Anaiah White G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
K. Toure K. Toure F 4 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 192 8.3 14.3 0.0 0 0 4.44 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG