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Memphis

2012 Team Stats (7 games)

72.0
PPG
65.9
Opp
+6.1
Margin
45.7%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
65.1%
FT%
36.0
RPG
13.1
APG
14.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.1
Adj PPG
61.3
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1348 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1253 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1131 (#29) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +15.6 (#12) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +16.7 (#6) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.855 (#15) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.3 More โ†’ 0.943 (#14) AdjNet +24.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.4 More โ†’ 0.944 (#14) AdjNet +24.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.793 (#12) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 61.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 58.8 More โ†’ 0.766 (#4) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 58.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.851 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.847 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1257 (#28) RD 109 | GP 33

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-15 vs Belmont Bruins W 97 - 81
2011-11-21 vs Michigan Wolverines L 61 - 73
2011-11-22 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 99 - 97
2011-11-23 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 88 - 91
2011-11-28 vs Jackson State Tigers W 70 - 45
2011-12-03 vs Austin Peay Governors W 91 - 60
2011-12-06 @ Miami Hurricanes W 71 - 54
2011-12-11 vs Murray State Racers L 72 - 76
2011-12-17 @ Louisville Cardinals L 87 - 95
2011-12-19 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 85 - 75
2011-12-22 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 59 - 70
2011-12-29 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 64 - 47
2011-12-31 vs Charlotte 49ers W 67 - 58
2012-01-04 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 69 - 51
2012-01-07 @ UAB Blazers W 62 - 59
2012-01-11 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 60 - 58
2012-01-14 @ Houston Cougars W 89 - 55
2012-01-18 @ UCF Knights L 67 - 68
2012-01-25 vs Rice Owls W 73 - 51
2012-01-28 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 83 - 76
2012-02-01 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 72 - 75
2012-02-04 vs Xavier Musketeers W 72 - 68
2012-02-08 @ East Carolina Pirates W 70 - 59
2012-02-15 @ Tulane Green Wave W 82 - 64
2012-02-18 vs UTEP Miners L 58 - 60
2012-02-22 vs East Carolina Pirates W 70 - 47
2012-02-25 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 87 - 67
2012-02-28 vs UCF Knights W 84 - 55
2012-03-03 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 78 - 66
2012-03-08 vs UTEP Miners W 65 - 47
2012-03-09 vs UCF Knights W 83 - 52
2012-03-10 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 83 - 57
2012-03-16 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 54 - 61

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Will Barton Will Barton G 33 35.4 17.9 8.0 2.9 1.5 0.8 2.1 6.0 23.0 375 31 12.1 14.3 48.7 33.3 69.0 2.33 125.2 52.0
Joe Jackson Joe Jackson G 32 27.4 11.3 2.3 3.9 1.2 0.2 2.4 3.2 13.2 305 30 10.2 15.8 41.3 33.3 84.2 3.91 140.2 45.2
Tarik Black Tarik Black F 33 25.5 10.7 4.7 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.3 2.3 14.1 325 31 10.5 17.2 65.8 0 62.9 4.21 165.3 65.8
Chris Crawford Chris Crawford G 33 28.2 9.1 3.3 3.8 1.7 0.8 2.1 3.6 13.0 269 31 8.7 12.9 44.1 37.5 70.6 0.17 119.1 53.0
Adonis Thomas Adonis Thomas G-F 19 23.9 8.8 3.2 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.3 4.4 8.5 95 17 5.6 9.6 44.0 38.5 80.0 0.69 95.0 50.0
Wesley Witherspoon Wesley Witherspoon G-F 31 22.0 7.2 3.6 1.0 1.5 0.4 1.3 1.8 10.6 292 29 10.1 19.2 36.4 29.2 66.7 3.76 153.8 42.7
Antonio Barton Antonio Barton G 32 21.1 6.5 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 2.3 7.2 231 30 7.7 13.7 45.3 34.4 64.0 0.87 120.9 52.7
Charles Carmouche Charles Carmouche G 7 17.3 6.3 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.9 2.4 9.1 3 7 0.4 1.1 47.1 37.5 66.7 -3.09 112.0 55.9
Ferrakohn Hall Ferrakohn Hall F 25 17.0 4.0 3.0 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 5.7 86 23 3.7 9.3 48.6 0 63.6 -0.89 124.2 48.6
D.J. Stephens D.J. Stephens G-F 26 8.3 2.3 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.6 4.3 65 23 2.8 13.9 53.3 0 50.0 -0.94 176.0 53.3
Stan Simpson Stan Simpson F 28 6.7 1.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.9 2.1 3 27 0.1 0.6 41.7 0 57.1 -2.87 75.7 41.7
Charles Holt Charles Holt G 11 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 -23 10 -2.3 -35.7 25.0 25.0 0 -2.71 137.5 37.5
Hippolyte Tsafack Hippolyte Tsafack F 12 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2 -44 11 -4.0 -49.4 100.0 0 60.0 -7.13 187.5 100.0
Preston Laird Preston Laird G 8 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -20 7 -2.9 -58.7 0 0 0 -3.19 0 0
Trey Draper Trey Draper G 9 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 -22 8 -2.8 -72.7 0 0 0 -3.89 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG