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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (42.5 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Log Adjusted 94.9% 5.1% -

Actual: Houston Cougars -34 (55-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Crawford * 33 7-11 5-8 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 19 16 -
T. Black * 30 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 5 2 10 14 -
W. Barton * 30 6-13 0-1 2-3 10 2 4 0 3 14 14 -
A. Barton * 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
F. Hall * 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
J. Jackson 22 6-7 0-0 4-5 1 5 1 0 1 16 15 -
W. Witherspoon 18 2-3 1-2 4-4 3 1 2 0 0 9 12 -
D. Stephens 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 4 7 -
S. Simpson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
H. Tsafack 4 1-1 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
C. Holt 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Draper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Laird 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harris * 33 3-10 0-1 12-17 3 0 0 1 2 18 10 -
J.J. Thompson * 30 3-9 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
J. Young * 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T. Thomas * 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 6 4 -
K. Van Slyke * 21 1-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
J. Simmons 30 7-12 1-3 1-1 5 0 3 0 5 16 7 -
D. Thibodeaux 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
L. Gibson 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
R. Stevenson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter