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2012-02-28

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.9% 80.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jordan * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 3 5 -
A.J. Rompza * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 6 9 -
I. Sykes * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 13 13 -
K. Clanton * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 7 8 -
J. Crittle * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 8 9 -
T. Spurlock 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 8 -
K. Wilson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 6 10 -
P.J. Gaynor 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
R. Days 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
W. Martin, Jr. 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 10 1 0 3 9 17 -
W. Witherspoon * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 4 1 2 15 27 -
W. Barton * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 4 0 4 5 18 32 -
T. Black * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 14 15 -
A. Barton * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Crawford 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 0 2 11 21 -
D. Stephens 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 8 11 -
F. Hall 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
H. Tsafack 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Simpson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Holt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Laird 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Draper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter