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2011-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 โœ— (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—

Actual: Memphis Tigers -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Burke * 35 6-10 0-3 2-6 2 4 0 1 3 14 8 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 32 6-13 0-3 9-10 7 5 0 0 3 21 17 -
Zack Novak * 31 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Evan Smotrycz * 26 3-5 1-1 0-0 8 1 0 1 3 7 9 -
Jordan Morgan * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Stu Douglass 24 2-7 2-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 6 6 -
Matt Vogrich 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Jon Horford 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 4 1 6 14 -
Blake McLimans 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Eso Akunne 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Colton Christian 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charles Carmouche * 31 6-12 1-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 0 14 9 -
Wesley Witherspoon * 29 1-4 0-2 5-6 4 1 2 0 4 7 6 -
Joe Jackson * 29 3-9 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 -
Will Barton * 28 3-12 1-5 2-2 4 0 1 1 1 9 2 -
Tarik Black * 20 1-3 0-0 5-7 4 0 2 0 0 7 10 -
Chris Crawford 20 2-6 1-4 2-3 2 0 0 1 1 7 3 -
Adonis Thomas 20 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 5 3 -
Antonio Barton 19 1-3 0-2 3-4 1 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
D.J. Stephens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Stan Simpson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter