Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Burke * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Z. Novak * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. Smotrycz * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Douglass | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Horford | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| B. McLimans | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Akunne | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Christian | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Carmouche * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| W. Witherspoon * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| W. Barton * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| T. Black * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| C. Crawford | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Thomas | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Barton | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Stephens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Simpson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter