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2012-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angelo Johnson * 35 4-11 2-5 1-1 2 3 2 0 5 11 2 -
LaShay Page * 35 6-14 4-10 0-3 1 1 0 0 1 16 3 -
Maurice Bolden * 28 1-7 0-2 5-8 4 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
Torye Pelham * 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 3 1 3 8 -
Rashard McGill * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
Jonathan Mills 20 2-5 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 0 0 8 11 -
Cedric Jenkins 20 4-10 1-6 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 9 5 -
Neil Watson 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
Darnell Dodson 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 0 4 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 36 5-12 0-1 1-2 9 2 4 0 1 11 13 -
Tarik Black * 31 2-4 0-0 5-8 10 0 0 5 0 9 20 -
Antonio Barton * 31 4-9 2-3 3-3 2 1 0 0 3 13 4 -
Ferrakohn Hall * 29 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 2 2 -
Adonis Thomas * 28 2-5 1-1 1-2 2 1 1 1 0 6 6 -
Joe Jackson 15 2-4 0-0 3-3 1 2 0 1 1 7 6 -
Chris Crawford 15 2-5 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 4 6 -2 -
Wesley Witherspoon 11 1-4 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Stan Simpson 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D.J. Stephens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter