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2012-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (23.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.9% 80.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +31 (83-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Rompza * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 3 0 4 5 14 -
M. Jordan * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 9 10 -
I. Sykes * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 11 14 -
K. Clanton * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
J. Crittle * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 9 14 -
T. Spurlock 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
P.J. Gaynor 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
K. Wilson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 9 -
R. Days 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Martin, Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Horodyski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Barton * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 1 0 1 10 23 -
T. Black * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 13 19 -
J. Jackson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 10 16 -
C. Crawford * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 8 16 -
F. Hall * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
W. Witherspoon 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 15 20 -
A. Barton 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 9 15 -
A. Thomas 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 8 -
C. Holt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
S. Simpson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Tsafack 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
T. Draper 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Laird 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Stephens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter