Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Barton * | 40 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| C. Crawford * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Black * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Barton * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| F. Hall * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Jackson | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Stephens | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Simpson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jordan * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| K. Clanton * | 38 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| A.J. Rompza * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| I. Sykes * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Crittle * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Spurlock | 24 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter