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Longwood Lancers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Longwood Lancers
Program History
Coach: Griff Aldrich

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

77.3
PPG
73.5
Opp
+3.8
Margin
45.6%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
37.3
RPG
12.3
APG
13.8
TO
83.1
Pace
72.9
AdjO
79.6
AdjD
#264
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 947 (#219) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 856 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 987 (#536) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -6.8 (#266) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +12.2 (#198) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.487 (#187) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +50.1 More → 0.996 (#2) NetEff +50.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.7 More → 0.248 (#269) AdjNet -9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.8 More → 0.245 (#270) AdjNet -9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 79.6 More → 0.353 (#264) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 79.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.601 (#118) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.668 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.653 (#227) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 30 More → 973 (#261) RD 154 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels W 92 - 55
2025-11-07 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 60 - 78
2025-11-12 vs James Madison Dukes W 82 - 72
2025-11-15 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 90 - 82
2025-11-18 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 82 - 83
2025-11-23 @ Columbia Lions L 70 - 95
2025-11-28 @ Siena Saints L 63 - 70
2025-11-29 vs Maine Black Bears W 65 - 61
2025-11-30 @ American University Eagles L 66 - 92
2025-12-03 vs Pfeiffer Falcons W 101 - 55
2025-12-13 vs Delaware State Hornets L 76 - 81
2025-12-17 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 68 - 71
2025-12-20 @ North Carolina Central Eagles W 74 - 72
2025-12-28 vs Averett Cougars W 92 - 49
2025-12-31 vs Winthrop Eagles W 82 - 70
2026-01-03 @ High Point Panthers L 67 - 80
2026-01-07 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 61 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 77 - 70
2026-01-21 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 91 - 56
2026-01-24 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 81 - 79
2026-01-29 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 60 - 65
2026-01-31 vs High Point Panthers L 59 - 71
2026-02-04 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 86 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Winthrop Eagles L 74 - 79
2026-02-12 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 74 - 79
2026-02-14 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 82 - 75
2026-02-19 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 65 - 72
2026-02-21 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 107 - 96
2026-02-28 vs Radford Highlanders W 90 - 74
2026-03-06 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 82 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Tucker E. Tucker F 30 25.9 12.4 6.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 2.6 8.0 10.5 -18 -0.7 -2.1 58.5 50.0 72.1 0.45 62.9 58.7
J. Hutchinson J. Hutchinson G 29 28.2 12.3 3.1 3.1 1.4 0.1 1.8 9.8 8.6 5 0.2 0.4 44.0 23.0 86.8 -0.29 53.8 46.5
J. Nziemi J. Nziemi F 27 25.7 10.5 5.9 1.6 1.1 0.4 2.1 6.5 11.0 -12 -0.5 -1.4 48.9 31.8 74.8 -0.44 59.7 50.9
R. Thompson Jr. R. Thompson Jr. - 30 22.3 10.0 1.6 2.0 0.6 0.0 1.7 8.2 4.4 238 9.5 22.5 39.2 31.6 89.0 1.47 54.1 48.0
E. Richards E. Richards G 30 26.0 9.8 3.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.5 7.8 6.2 8 0.3 0.9 42.7 32.0 72.9 -0.87 53.2 47.9
A. Billups III A. Billups III G 30 23.6 8.5 2.9 1.4 1.6 0.4 1.2 7.0 6.6 63 2.7 4.2 45.0 33.6 67.5 0.34 56.3 54.5
J. Benard J. Benard G 30 19.8 7.2 3.7 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.0 6.3 5.6 13 0.5 1.9 43.2 31.2 60.0 -0.41 53.4 52.4
E. Jones E. Jones - 25 17.8 3.8 3.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.7 2.7 5.9 6 0.3 0.9 44.1 26.7 66.0 -0.05 53.6 47.1
Elijah Kelly Elijah Kelly - 29 10.8 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 1.8 2.9 23 1.0 5.2 41.5 31.4 58.3 -0.14 53.2 51.9
KJ McClurg KJ McClurg G 4 14.2 2.0 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 3.8 1.2 14 4.7 19.7 13.3 0.0 50.0 0.23 21.6 13.3
Jaylin Payne Jaylin Payne - 28 7.9 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.1 33 1.6 11.4 57.5 0.0 58.3 -0.03 58.5 57.5
J. Williams J. Williams - 10 4.6 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 -94 -4.1 -6.4 30.0 20.0 83.3 -0.3 47.5 35.0
Isaiah Kalala Isaiah Kalala - 15 3.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.5 17 1.7 31.1 75.0 0 58.3 0.19 70.0 75.0
Gerald Burr III Gerald Burr III G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -16 -4.0 -21.4 - - - -0.49 - -
Quadri Bashiru Quadri Bashiru F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG