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Longwood Lancers 82
@
UNC Asheville Bulldogs 85
2026-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers UNC Asheville Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - ✗
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - ✓

Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hutchinson 40 7-14 0-0 5-7 5 3 4 0 1 19 16 -
J. Nziemi 30 3-8 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 0 2 8 9 -
E. Richards 30 4-8 1-4 8-11 6 0 2 0 0 17 17 -
J. Benard 26 3-12 0-8 0-2 5 2 0 0 1 6 0 -
E. Tucker 26 3-6 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 1 1 11 12 -
R. Thompson Jr. 25 2-10 1-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 -6 -
A. Billups III 23 3-7 2-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
E. Jones 18 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 0 0 5 9 -
E. Kelly 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Payne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wright 44 6-11 2-7 14-18 5 4 0 0 3 28 23 -
T. Solomon 43 8-16 4-7 4-6 4 3 2 2 2 24 17 -
K. Taylor 42 8-17 3-6 7-12 6 2 2 1 4 26 16 -
J. Clarke 33 2-7 1-6 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
M. Mayfield 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
D. Thomas 22 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 3 -
S. Tolentino 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter