Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ricks III * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | -9.8 |
| B. Douglas * | 30 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | -1.2 |
| C. Davis * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +3.5 |
| G. Newhof * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -6.0 |
| J. McBride * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2.1 |
| P. Fowler | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -11.1 |
| P. Jones III | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -12.9 |
| P. Lewis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.9 |
| E. Wilborn | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -0.8 |
| J. Taylor | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1.0 |
| C. Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Tucker * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +4.8 |
| A. Billups III * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -3.9 |
| J. Nziemi * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -5.9 |
| E. Richards * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +12.0 |
| J. Hutchinson * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +7.1 |
| E. Jones | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +8.6 |
| R. Thompson Jr. | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +6.8 |
| J. Benard | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.6 |
| KJ McClurg | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +9.8 |
| J. Payne | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +2.7 |
| I. Kalala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter