James Madison
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
76.0
PPG
78.7
Opp
-2.7
Margin
39.2%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
38.7
RPG
15.0
APG
9.7
TO
68.7
Est. poss./game
72.9
Adj PPG
73.2
Adj Opp PPG
#171
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 942 (#166) | Preseason prior 928 (returning production + recruiting): last season 972, returning -43, transfers +22, freshmen -23 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 966 (#179) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 968 (#179) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.5 (#131) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.5 (#131) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.417 (#171) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.469 (#169) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.485 (#160) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.475 (#171) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.477 (#171) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.486 (#160) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.486 (#160) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 955 (#187) | RD 184 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.467 (#161) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Miami (OH) RedHawks | L | 77 - 86 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Kentucky Wildcats | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Delaware Blue Hens | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Mercyhurst Lakers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Towson Tigers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Virginia Lynchburg Dragons | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Lee
|
G | 3 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 7.3 | - | - | - | - | 41.2 | 33.3 | 79.2 | - | 57.2 | 47.1 |
Adrian Myers
|
G | 3 | 27.0 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8.7 | 11.7 | - | - | - | - | 46.2 | 40.0 | 60.0 | - | 55.9 | 53.8 |
Garrett Sundra
|
F | 3 | 26.3 | 10.7 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 13.3 | - | - | - | - | 64.7 | 63.6 | 50.0 | - | 81.5 | 85.3 |
Paul Jones Iii
|
G | 3 | 21.3 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 7.7 | 6.3 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 8.1 | 39.1 | 35.0 | 100.0 | -0.43 | 59.5 | 54.3 |
K.J. Windham
|
G | 3 | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.7 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 31.0 | 35.3 | 50.0 | - | 42.3 | 41.4 |
Ace Meeks
|
G | 3 | 14.7 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 | -5 | 3 | -1.7 | -4.5 | 60.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -0.31 | 72.4 | 70.0 |
Jacob Hogarth
|
F | 3 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 30.8 | 66.7 | 40.0 | - | 39.5 | 38.5 |
Preston Fowler
|
F | 3 | 26.7 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -10.1 | 22.2 | 7.1 | 100.0 | -0.81 | 27.1 | 25.0 |
Gage Lattimore
|
G | 3 | 17.7 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | - | 21.1 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 26.3 | 26.3 |
Joseph Brown
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Marley Curtis
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
AJ Evans
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Emarquis Jones
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Matthew Owens
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Cavan Reilly
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
194 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Brandon LeeGarrett SundraAdrian MyersPaul Jones IiiK.J. WindhamAce MeeksGage LattimorePreston Fowler
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 13-24 | 54.2 | 26 | Ace Meeks 15% (4 pts) | Adrian Myers 15% (4 pts) | Brandon Lee 36% (4 misses) | Jacob Hogarth 36% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 22-51 | 43.1 | 44 | Brandon Lee 36% (16 pts) | Adrian Myers 23% (10 pts) | Brandon Lee 24% (7 misses) | K.J. Windham 21% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-6 | 50.0 | 6 | Ace Meeks 33% (2 pts) | Gage Lattimore 33% (2 pts) | Adrian Myers 33% (1 misses) | Gage Lattimore 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Adrian Myers 50% (1 misses) | Gage Lattimore 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Adrian Myers 50% (2 pts) | Gage Lattimore 50% (2 pts) | K.J. Windham 60% (3 misses) | Adrian Myers 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-10 | 40.0 | 12 | Ace Meeks 50% (6 pts) | Brandon Lee 25% (3 pts) | K.J. Windham 33% (2 misses) | Ace Meeks 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Adrian Myers 100% (3 pts) | - | Ace Meeks 50% (2 misses) | K.J. Windham 50% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 16-32 | 50.0 | 48 | Paul Jones Iii 25% (12 pts) | Brandon Lee 19% (9 pts) | Preston Fowler 31% (5 misses) | Paul Jones Iii 25% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 7-21 | 33.3 | 21 | Garrett Sundra 29% (6 pts) | Jacob Hogarth 29% (6 pts) | Paul Jones Iii 36% (5 misses) | Adrian Myers 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-36 | 22.2 | 24 | Garrett Sundra 50% (12 pts) | Paul Jones Iii 25% (6 pts) | Gage Lattimore 21% (6 misses) | K.J. Windham 21% (6 misses) |