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James Madison Dukes

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2015
Also known as: James Madison Dukes
Program History
Coach: Preston Spradlin

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

74.8
PPG
74.0
Opp
+0.8
Margin
45.8%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
71.3%
FT%
37.0
RPG
12.5
APG
11.7
TO
77.5
Pace
72.6
AdjO
76.5
AdjD
#218
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1020 (#165) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1017 (#155) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -3.9 (#219) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +12.9 (#188) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.511 (#170) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.2 More → 0.283 (#244) NetEff -9.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.8 More → 0.367 (#218) AdjNet -4.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.8 More → 0.364 (#218) AdjNet -4.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 76.5 More → 0.414 (#218) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 76.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.568 (#157) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.729 (#201) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.702 (#188) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 31 More → 1062 (#181) RD 153 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Akron Zips L 71 - 85
2025-11-05 vs Washington and Lee Generals W 70 - 56
2025-11-09 vs Coppin State Eagles W 84 - 70
2025-11-12 @ Longwood Lancers L 72 - 82
2025-11-15 @ Long Island University Sharks L 79 - 88
2025-11-18 vs Towson Tigers W 81 - 75
2025-11-24 @ Florida International Panthers W 80 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Omaha Mavericks W 88 - 77
2025-11-29 @ George Mason Patriots L 66 - 82
2025-12-03 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 67 - 62
2025-12-17 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 68 - 77
2025-12-20 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 92 - 96
2025-12-29 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 74 - 103
2026-01-03 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 78 - 74
2026-01-07 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 64 - 66
2026-01-10 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 70 - 69
2026-01-15 @ App State Mountaineers L 65 - 80
2026-01-22 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 83 - 90
2026-01-24 vs Texas State Bobcats W 82 - 57
2026-01-29 @ Troy Trojans W 73 - 64
2026-01-31 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 65 - 73
2026-02-04 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 61 - 64
2026-02-07 vs Toledo Rockets W 73 - 71
2026-02-12 vs Georgia State Panthers W 81 - 79
2026-02-14 vs App State Mountaineers W 69 - 58
2026-02-18 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 67 - 65
2026-02-21 @ Georgia State Panthers W 80 - 65
2026-02-25 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 82 - 66
2026-02-27 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 68 - 69
2026-03-04 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 87 - 72
2026-03-05 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 80 - 86

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Davis C. Davis G 31 31.3 15.8 3.1 1.6 1.1 0.0 1.2 11.9 8.5 94 3.5 5.8 43.2 38.7 86.8 0.44 59.9 55.7
J. McBride J. McBride F 29 27.2 14.9 5.7 1.5 0.3 0.6 1.8 10.9 10.4 16 0.7 2.0 49.5 40.7 77.8 0.02 59.4 55.1
B. Douglas B. Douglas G 30 27.5 12.2 2.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 2.5 9.7 6.3 -28 -1.3 -3.2 41.6 35.0 76.2 -0.6 54.7 49.8
Gabe Newhof Gabe Newhof - 31 19.1 8.4 3.7 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.8 5.6 7.0 21 0.9 2.3 63.0 0 53.9 0.04 62.7 63.0
E. Ricks III E. Ricks III F 30 26.5 7.0 5.6 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.9 4.7 9.9 17 0.7 1.9 48.6 29.4 79.2 -0.05 60.5 53.9
Preston Fowler Preston Fowler - 31 23.2 6.2 4.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.5 5.4 6.4 -10 -0.4 -1.5 38.6 28.3 78.6 -0.54 52.3 48.2
I. Cornish I. Cornish G 3 13.3 5.3 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.7 -3 -0.4 -3.7 38.5 33.3 40.0 0.02 52.6 53.8
K. Egbule K. Egbule - 17 17.8 4.6 2.3 2.1 0.5 0.3 1.7 3.8 4.4 22 1.8 11.0 35.9 33.3 75.9 0.33 51.5 44.5
Paul Jones Iii Paul Jones Iii G 19 11.3 2.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.2 -58 -3.2 -18.7 30.4 30.2 64.3 -0.77 45.0 42.0
Christian Brown Christian Brown - 31 13.2 2.9 3.7 0.4 0.3 1.5 0.9 1.9 6.0 155 9.1 14.5 56.7 33.3 51.3 -0.1 57.7 57.5
P. Lewis P. Lewis G 13 11.8 2.7 0.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.2 1.8 6 0.4 3.0 23.8 25.0 78.6 -0.16 36.3 28.6
E. Wilborn E. Wilborn - 29 8.4 2.4 2.9 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.8 3.8 -13 -0.6 -3.9 64.7 0 22.2 -0.21 59.4 64.7
J. Taylor J. Taylor G 17 8.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 11 0.7 7.6 36.4 66.7 57.1 0.11 52.4 45.5
O. Egbule O. Egbule - 5 8.8 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.6 - - - 12.5 0.0 25.0 - 15.4 12.5
Chance Lundy Chance Lundy G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Josh Stephen Josh Stephen G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG