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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers UNC Asheville Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% -
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Richards 32 4-8 1-1 5-6 2 0 0 0 0 14 8 -4.5
J. Nziemi 30 1-8 0-2 1-1 6 1 0 1 2 3 1 -5.4
J. Hutchinson 26 2-8 1-3 2-2 3 2 2 1 1 7 6 -9.4
A. Billups III 23 0-2 0-1 3-4 1 2 2 0 1 3 5 +1.6
J. Benard 22 4-10 2-8 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 5 -6.6
E. Tucker 22 3-4 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 1 3 8 7 -5.5
R. Thompson Jr. 19 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 7 3 -8.4
E. Kelly 12 3-4 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 1 0 7 6 -0.1
E. Jones 12 1-4 0-1 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -4.9
J. Payne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DJ Patrick 38 6-11 6-10 0-0 4 5 1 0 1 18 16 +12.8
T. Solomon 38 4-14 0-3 2-4 8 3 2 2 4 10 7 +6.3
K. Taylor 37 8-18 1-4 7-9 5 1 0 1 1 24 12 +9.4
D. Thomas 34 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 0 1 8 13 +11.1
J. Wright 21 3-6 2-3 3-4 4 3 0 0 0 11 12 +6.6
S. Tolentino 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -7.3
M. Mayfield 15 0-1 0-0 1-4 5 1 0 0 1 1 5 +7.8

* = starter