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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Margin 89.8% 10.2% -11.9 โœ“ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 88.9% 11.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.4% 9.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.4% 26.6% - โœ“

Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -20 (66-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Tucker 35 7-10 0-0 2-4 7 3 2 0 1 16 17 +16.2
Jacoi Hutchinson 30 6-10 0-2 3-4 7 4 1 0 2 15 15 +21.7
Emanuel Richards 28 5-9 1-3 1-2 2 1 3 0 2 12 7 +14.4
Johan Nziemi 28 8-12 1-2 3-5 4 3 2 0 1 20 16 +11.0
Redd Thompson Jr. 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -2.1
Elijah Kelly 17 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 4 +11.9
Jaylen Benard 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 0 -3.3
Elijah Jones 13 2-4 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -5.1
Alphonzo Billups III 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -9.5
Jaylin Payne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -3.7
Jerome Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.3
Isaiah Kalala 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamias Ferere 31 7-14 0-2 2-3 7 0 0 0 2 16 7 -18.0
Spence Sims 30 3-6 3-5 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 9 7 -7.2
Colin Hawkins 30 5-11 1-3 0-1 3 2 2 0 5 11 2 -15.4
Jacob Hogarth 27 3-5 0-0 4-5 1 1 1 0 1 10 7 -3.1
Jacob Hudson 20 2-5 0-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 2 5 2 -5.0
DJ Jefferson 18 3-5 2-4 3-5 4 2 1 0 4 11 9 -3.7
Ace Talbert 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.3
NaVuan Peterson 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 7 -7.7
Riek Riek 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -4.1
Bo Barber 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter