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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 78.5% 21.5% -
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% -
Margin 89.9% 10.1% -12.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 88.9% 11.1% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.4% 9.6% -
Points Off/Def 73.2% 26.8% -

Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -20 (66-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Tucker 35 7-10 0-0 2-4 7 3 2 0 1 16 17 -
J. Hutchinson 30 6-10 0-2 3-4 7 4 1 0 2 15 15 -
J. Nziemi 28 8-12 1-2 3-5 4 3 2 0 1 20 16 -
E. Richards 28 5-9 1-3 1-2 2 1 3 0 2 12 7 -
R. Thompson Jr. 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
E. Kelly 17 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Benard 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 0 -
E. Jones 13 2-4 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. Billups III 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
J. Payne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Kalala 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ferere 31 7-14 0-2 2-3 7 0 0 0 2 16 7 -
S. Sims 30 3-6 3-5 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
C. Hawkins 30 5-11 1-3 0-1 3 2 2 0 5 11 2 -
J. Hogarth 27 3-5 0-0 4-5 1 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
J. Hudson 20 2-5 0-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 2 5 2 -
DJ Jefferson 18 3-5 2-4 3-5 4 2 1 0 4 11 9 -
A. Talbert 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
N. Peterson 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
R. Riek 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Barber 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter