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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Siena Saints Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% -
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% -
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: Siena Saints +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hutchinson * 27 5-8 1-2 4-5 2 3 1 0 1 15 12 +0.3
A. Billups III * 26 2-7 1-5 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 7 1 +7.2
E. Richards * 26 4-8 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -11.5
E. Tucker * 25 0-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 6 2 -1 -4.6
J. Nziemi * 16 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -11.6
E. Jones 27 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 4 -1.0
R. Thompson Jr. 21 6-12 3-6 0-0 7 4 0 0 4 15 10 +2.1
J. Benard 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 1 -5.0
J. Payne 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 +0.1
E. Kelly 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coyle * 38 7-14 5-12 4-6 4 1 0 0 1 23 13 +11.4
F. Folefac * 37 3-4 0-0 4-6 8 3 4 3 3 10 21 +5.7
J. Shoats * 37 7-9 0-0 1-1 0 6 3 0 3 15 12 +5.6
G. Doty * 34 3-9 1-4 4-7 6 1 3 0 1 11 11 +5.6
A. Chandler * 14 2-4 0-1 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 4 -0.2
C. Jones 24 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 5 1 -
M. Jackson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 5 +6.0
T. Jones 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
I. Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.9

* = starter