Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hutchinson * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +0.3 |
| A. Billups III * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +7.2 |
| E. Richards * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -11.5 |
| E. Tucker * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1 | -4.6 |
| J. Nziemi * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -11.6 |
| E. Jones | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -1.0 |
| R. Thompson Jr. | 21 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | +2.1 |
| J. Benard | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.0 |
| J. Payne | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
| E. Kelly | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Coyle * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | +11.4 |
| F. Folefac * | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 | +5.7 |
| J. Shoats * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +5.6 |
| G. Doty * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +5.6 |
| A. Chandler * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.2 |
| C. Jones | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Jackson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +6.0 |
| T. Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
* = starter